Houston vs UCLA 9/15/2012

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UCLA is a heavy favorite winning 86% of simulations over Houston. Brett Hundley is averaging 307 passing yards and 3.4 TDs per simulation and Johnathan Franklin is projected for 161 rushing yards and a 65% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 14% of simulations where Houston wins, David Piland averages 2.05 TD passes vs 1.1 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.08 TDs to 1.71 interceptions. Charles Sims averages 113 rushing yards and 1.1 rushing TDs when Houston wins and 100 yards and 0.63 TDs in losses. UCLA has a 67% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 90% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UCLA -17

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